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41.
While the number of models dedicated to predicting the consequences of alternative resource management strategies has increased, instances in which authors look back at past predictions to learn from discrepancies between these and observed developments are scarce. In the past decades, the French Guiana shrimp fishery has experienced shrimp market globalization and decreasing levels of shrimp recruitment due to environmental changes. In 2006, a bio‐economic model of this fishery was developed to simulate its possible responses to economic and environmental scenarios up to 2016. Here, we compare here these predictions to the observed trajectories. While the number of active vessels corresponds to that which was predicted, the estimated shrimp stock does not. Important driving factors had not been anticipated, including a general strike, natural disasters, and the end of the global financial crisis. These results show the importance of participative approaches involving stakeholders in the co‐construction and shared representation of scenarios. Recommendations for resource managers
- Effective fisheries resources management and a fortiori, the capacity of the fisheries to adapt to global change, requires understanding of both ecological and economics dynamics.
- The temporal trajectory of the trawling shrimp fisheries has been well monitored, and the decline of both stock and fleet is understood regarding ecological and economic changes: Changes in the environmental conditions of shrimp recruitment, and oil price increase and selling price decrease.
- However, our bio‐economic modeling work showed that, even with a good understanding of the dynamics explaining past trajectories, unpredictable events (strike, natural disasters…) have acted as other key driving factors altering the capacity of the model to represent possible futures.
- These results led us to recommend a better integration of the expertise of social and political scientists in developing models of bio‐economic systems to increase the quality of scenario predictions, and to argue for more participative approaches involving the stakeholders.
42.
为提高计算效率,提出有限体积法离散下的虚拟区域颗粒两相流动直接模拟方法.在控制方程中加入相应的虚拟区域源项,保证了颗粒内部的刚体运动特性.该源项中含有颗粒信息部分及流体信息部分.在每次迭代后,对源项中的流体信息部分进行更新,从而更好地保证颗粒内速度的刚体分布.计算静止颗粒圆柱绕流及单个颗粒的沉降过程,验证了算法的准确性. 相似文献
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针对传统CFD数值计算方法难以实现风力机动态旋转及其旋转状态下的流固耦合计算,本文结合格子玻尔兹曼(LBM)方法易于处理动态复杂边界的特点及大涡模拟(LES)方法在非稳态涡流结构捕捉上的优势,采用LBM-LES联合方法进行三维风力发电机整机气动性能及尾流结构仿真研究,同时采用尺度自适应方法对尾涡结构进行跟踪和精细化计算。针对NREL PhaseⅥ型试验机进行模拟,得到了与实验结果吻合的流动形态及尾流结构演变规律,分析了尾流区速度演变规律并对比了不同亚格子湍流模型对计算结果的影响. 相似文献
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采用SST k-w低雷诺数湍流模型对加热条件下超临界压力CO2在内径di=22.14 mm,加热长度Lh=2440 mm水平圆管内三维稳态流动与传热特性进行了数值计算.通过超临界CO2在水平圆管内的流动传热实验数据验证了数值模型的可靠性和准确性.首先,研究了超临界压力CO2在水平圆管内的流动传热特点,基于超临界CO2在类临界温度Tpc处发生类液-类气“相变”的假设,揭示了水平圆管顶母线和底母线区域不同的流动传热行为.然后,分析了热流密度qw和质量流速G对水平圆管内超临界压力CO2流动换热的影响,通过获取流体域内的物性分布、速度分布和湍流分布等详细信息,重点解释了不同热流密度qw和质量流速G下顶母线内壁温度Tw,i分布产生差异的传热机理,分析结果确定了类气膜厚度d、类气膜性质、轴向速度u和湍动能k是影响顶母线壁温分布差异的主要因素.研究结果可以为超临界压力CO2换热装置的优化设计和安全运行提供理论指导. 相似文献
48.
Dong-Qing Li 《中国物理 B》2022,31(5):56106-056106
Three-dimensional (3D) TCAD simulations demonstrate that reducing the distance between the well boundary and N-channel metal-oxide semiconductor (NMOS) transistor or P-channel metal-oxide semiconductor (PMOS) transistor can mitigate the cross section of single event upset (SEU) in 14-nm complementary metal-oxide semiconductor (CMOS) bulk FinFET technology. The competition of charge collection between well boundary and sensitive nodes, the enhanced restoring currents and the change of bipolar effect are responsible for the decrease of SEU cross section. Unlike dual-interlock cell (DICE) design, this approach is more effective under heavy ion irradiation of higher LET, in the presence of enough taps to ensure the rapid recovery of well potential. Besides, the feasibility of this method and its effectiveness with feature size scaling down are discussed. 相似文献
49.
Cross-target effect has been one of the major mechanisms of drug toxicity, this has necessitated the design of inhibitors that are specifically tailored to target particular biomolecules. 6-(2,4-difluorophenoxy)-5-((ethylmethyl)pyridine-3-yl)-8-methylpyrrolo[1,2-a] pyrazin-1(2H)-one (Cpd38) is an inhibitor possessing high inhibition rate and tailored specificity towards bromodomain-containing protein 4 (BRD4). In this research, we used an array of computational techniques to provide insight at the atomistic level the specific targeting of BRD4 by Cpd38 relative to the binding of Cpd38 with E1A binding protein P300 (EP300); another bromodomain-containing protein (BCP). Comparatively, binding of Cpd38 improved the conformational stability and compactness of BRD4 protein when compared to the Cpd38 bound EP300. Also, Cpd38 induced a conformational change in the active site of BRD4 that facilitated a complementary pose between Cpd38 and BRD4 suitable for effective atomistic interactions. Expectedly, thermodynamic calculations revealed that the Cpd38-BRD4 system had higher binding energy (−36.11 Kcal/mol) than the Cpd38-EP300 system with a free binding energy of −15.86 Kcal/mol. Noteworthy is the opposing role Trp81 (acting as hydrogen bond acceptor) and Pro1074 (acting as hydrogen bond donor) found on the WPF and LPF loops respectively play in maintaining Cpd38 stability. Furthermore, the hydrogen bond acceptor/donator ratio was approximately 4:1 in Cpd38-BRD4 system compared with 2:1 in Cpd38-EP300 system. Taken together, atomistic insights and structural perspectives detailed in this report supplements the experimental report supporting the improved selectivity of Cpd38 for BRD4 ahead of other BCPs while providing leeway for the future design of BET selective agents with better pharmacological profile. 相似文献
50.
《Arabian Journal of Chemistry》2021,14(12):103425
This study investigated the anti-hepatoma molecular mechanism of Alisol G, which is an effective component of the Chinese medicine Alisma orientalis, in the presence of metal ions Cu2+ and Fe3+ based on c-myc DNA. Here, a combination of Alisol G and metal ions (Cu2+, Fe3+) to augment anti-hepatoma efficiencies of Alisol G has been identified by methyl thiazolyl tetrazolium (MTT) assay. Network pharmacology revealed that c-myc DNA was the potential target of Alisol G with respect to its anti-hepatoma effects. By performing multi-spectroscopic analyses, we showed that the interaction of Alisol G with c-myc DNA was a process of static quenching. The binding constants and thermodynamic constants indicated that a 1:1 complex was formed between Alisol G and c-myc DNA. Moreover, metal ions strengthened the interaction between Alisol G and c-myc DNA. Molecular docking and molecular dynamics simulation further unveiled that the higher binding affinity between Alisol G-Fe3+ complex and c-myc DNA as compared to Alisol G-Cu2+ complex. This probably resulted from the polarization of metal ions and the structural flexion of Alisol G. The C22-O31-H76 and C18-O32-H77 of Alisol G were key groups in the interaction with c-myc DNA. Addition of metal ion, had greatly changed the c-myc DNA-binding domain of Alisol G while didn’t affect the kinetic stability of the interaction, thus facilitating the insertion of Alisol G into c-myc DNA A-T base pair. Importantly, the DG113 of c-myc DNA was important for its binding to metal ions. Together, our findings suggested that Alisol G in combination with metal ions may be an efficient and promising option for the treatment of liver cancer. 相似文献